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Blackhawk Up

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EVERETT, WA - APRIL 13: Defenseman Henri Jokiharju (16) of the Portland Winterhawks skates the puck out of the defensive zone during the first period in Game 5 of the second round of the Western Hockey League playoffs between the Everett Silvertips and Portland Winterhawks on Friday, April 13, 2018 at Angel of the Winds Arena in Everett, WA. The Everett Silvertips won the game by a final score of 4-0. (Photo by Christopher Mast/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Former Chicago Blackhawk Anthony Duclair signs with Blue Jackets by Samuel Boland
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It’s been apparent for quite some time now that the Chicago Blackhawks have issues to address defensively. They downgraded significantly after exchanging Niklas Hjalmarsson for a cheaper, younger Connor Murphy a season ago. Additionally, while Duncan Keith and Brent Seabrook used to be the only guys holding things together, even that isn’t working anymore.

The hope was that because the Blackhawks had more cap room than years prior this offseason, the defensive issue would finally be addressed. Justin Faulk was rumored to be coming over in a trade. Calvin de Haan was thought of as a possibility as well.

However, Calvin de Haan inked a deal with the Carolina Hurricanes. Furthermore, the Canes are rumored to be asking for Brandon Saad in exchange for Faulk— a price too high for Stan Bowman — which puts the Hawks in a pit of a pinch.

So far, all the Blackhawks have managed to come up with was a third pairing defenseman in Brandon Manning .

It appears that Henri Jokiharju may be the Blackhawks only hope in improving defense.

Jokiharju has spent just two seasons in the WHL with the Portland Winterhawks from 2016-2018. In the 2016-17 campaign, Henri played in 71 games and tallied 49 points on 39 assists and 9 goals. Not too shabby for a defenseman.

The binning makes it impossible to get a significant effect here, but it is just barely possible that a non-parametric (or even linear) fitting of the raw data might show a real trend. If it did, then the authors’ point might be correct even if their reasoning from the three-bin results is invalid.

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May 25, 2016 at 9:56 am

The higher up you sit the further you can fall?

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No, no! This is the whole problem. You’re coming up with an explanation for something that can just as well be explained by pure noise.

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May 25, 2016 at 12:23 pm

I know! But this is soooooooo tempting, the armchair theorizing. :)

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May 25, 2016 at 10:25 am

I think if you can imagine someone tweeting the main conclusion of a study with little flame emojis it’s a signal to be mistrustful of the stats.

:flame: smartest students harmed most by classroom laptop use!! :flame:

:flame: a 15-minute conversation can eliminate homophobia! :flame:

:flame: ESP IS REAL :flame:

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While the paper has gone to great lengths to do multiple analyses, and apparently there is still plenty to criticize, I find one of their qualitative conclusions the most disturbing. The examine dependent variables of multiple choice questions, short answers, and essay questions. They conclude “Taken together, the evidence in Appendix Table 1 indicates that essay scores do not provide an accurate measurement of student achievement.” Presumably this follows from the fact that “professor fixed effects explain 32 percent of the variation in essay question test scores.” After 35 years of teaching, I am insulted to discover that professor fixed effects render the use of essay questions (which are the only type I have asked for the past 34 years) to be inaccurate measurement of student achievement. I’m glad I’m near the end of my teaching career and not the beginning!

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May 25, 2016 at 11:07 am

I’m ignorant: what does “professor fixed effects explain 30% of the variation” actually mean?

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professor fixed effects = including dummy variables for professors

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